What does Paulo Guedes say about sustained economic growth?

Paulo Guedes says sustained economic recovery depends on mass vaccination. He says it's not enough to have a job, you need to get a vaccine against what he calls Swine Flu (flu). The media has been saying that Brazil needs a huge jobs boom, that they cannot grow fast enough to take care of the massive new influx of jobless. But Guedes says this is just another myth. “If you compare employment rates before and after the epidemic, there are almost no differences. That means there is no increase in unemployment.”

It is true that unemployment is at high rates in some regions, but overall the rate is very low. In fact, it has now dropped below pre-epidemic levels. In addition, he says, the sharp increase in the number of infected children who dropped out of schools last summer is also an illusion. Most of these children have already returned home, having had their school years.

So how do you increase employment when you have a huge backlog of non-employees? Guedes tells us there is another way. He says that if you inject each child with a highly infectious vaccine, you will be able to reduce the number of infections by up to 90%. This vaccine is a live virus, which means it can be transmitted easily between humans. It's extremely efficient.

Why is his estimate so optimistic? This is because it bypasses the sanitary inspection mechanism. With the implementation of mass education, this type of measure has always been effective. And like I said, it bypasses inspection. But does this vaccine have any side effects?

The only unfortunate side effect that can happen is a higher rate of SIDS or Sudden Infant Death Syndrome. However, this is only likely if the vaccines being used are non-branded. Otherwise, the risks are highly minimized. However, this can be easily verified, as each brand has its own laboratories and it is the manufacturer's responsibility to ensure that their products are not contaminated.

Furthermore, the new technology being used here is completely secure. There is no risk. In fact, there is even less risk than with regular vaccines. This is because the body only receives one bulk injection.

The procedure is quite painful and expensive too. There is a need for a lot of space. Also, the injections take about 10 minutes which is why a large area needs to be taken care of. Therefore, Guedes calculates that only about 0.1% of Brazilians could take advantage of this program.

The problem, as he sees it, is that mass vaccinations have not yet reached the right people. There are many babies, for example, who are either too young or too old for the disease to have a significant effect on them. He says that the most efficient way is for health authorities to increase the vaccination schedule each year. The key to success is also getting children vaccinated.

Guedes is not happy with the idea of mass evacuation. “It seems to me that when something is inevitable, like the spread of smallpox, we prefer not to do anything about it. We wait for generations for the situation to arise, and then we think and plan how best to deal with it.” In other words, he believes that a slow and careful approach is the best way to ensure sustained economic growth.

He sees mass campaigns as an opportunity to improve nutrition. By preventing diseases like measles and typhoid, Brazil can ensure its people get the right amount of vitamins and minerals. This would help the economy grow much faster, as Brazil produces most of the world's sugar and cocoa. As a result, he sees the two as interrelated and would therefore argue that poor nutrition and diminished economic growth go hand in hand.

The debate around vaccination is important. Some people object because they feel it poses a threat to our individual freedom. Others argue that society should be more closely monitored to ensure that everyone receives the right amount of preventives. Those who support vaccination feel that there is no way that harmful viruses or bacteria can be transmitted through unprotected methods of communication. The large-scale campaign against the measles outbreak is an example of this.